AD Ceuta FC vs Sabadell: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sabadell travel to face AD Ceuta FC on Saturday 10 October in the Segunda División, with Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube the venue – the ball rolls at 15:15 WAT. In the table, AD Ceuta FC are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 13 matches; Sabadell are 13th (lower half) with 18. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AD Ceuta FC, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Castellón, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Sabadell, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FC Andorra, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sabadell, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for AD Ceuta FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AD Ceuta FC 1.1 xG, Sabadell 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AD Ceuta FC 34%, draw 23%, Sabadell 43%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Sabadell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AD Ceuta FC34%fair 2.94 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Sabadell43%fair 2.33 · @2.25
2.44Expected goals
1.13AD Ceuta FC xG
1.31Sabadell xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: AD Ceuta FC 1.1 – 1.3 Sabadell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sabadell to win✓
43%
2.33
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.75
Draw no bet
Sabadell (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
AD Ceuta FC +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Sabadell to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sabadell / FT Sabadell✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
AD Ceuta FC – last 6
DWDLLL
4 Oct
@ Castellón
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Real Sociedad II
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Valladolid
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Burgos
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Celta de Vigo II
0–2
L
30 Aug
@ Mallorca
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sabadell – last 6
DDWLWW
3 Oct
vs FC Andorra
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Celta de Vigo II
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Oviedo
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Mallorca
0–2
L
7 Sep
vs Cordoba
3–2
W
29 Aug
vs Almeria
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Ceuta FC and Sabadell.
What is the prediction for AD Ceuta FC vs Sabadell?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Sabadell?
On our numbers AD Ceuta FC have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sabadell 43%.
How many goals will there be in AD Ceuta FC vs Sabadell?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Ceuta FC vs Sabadell?
Our predicted score is AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Sabadell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is AD Ceuta FC vs Sabadell?
AD Ceuta FC vs Sabadell (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
