Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultCastellón to win ✗51% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Burgos vs Castellón: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Castellón travel to face Burgos on Sunday 1 November in the Segunda División – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Burgos are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 13 matches; Castellón are 2nd (among the top four) with 27. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Burgos, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Laredo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Castellón, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Conquense, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burgos 1.0 xG, Castellón 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burgos 26%, draw 23%, Castellón 51%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burgos 1–1 Castellón. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burgos26%fair 3.79 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Castellón51%fair 1.97 · @2.05
2.45Expected goals
0.97Burgos xG
1.48Castellón xG
59%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–29%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: Burgos 1.0 – 1.5 Castellón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellón to win✗
51%
1.97
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.65
Draw no bet
Castellón (draw no bet)
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Burgos +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Castellón to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellón / FT Castellón✗
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.90
–
Recent results
Burgos – last 6
WWWLLW
29 Oct
@ Laredo
4–2
W
26 Oct
@ FC Andorra
3–2
W
18 Oct
vs Sabadell
1–0
W
12 Oct
vs Granada CF
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Almeria
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Eldense
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Castellón – last 6
WWWLDW
29 Oct
@ Conquense
3–0
W
25 Oct
vs Sporting Gijon
4–0
W
17 Oct
@ Las Palmas
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ FC Andorra
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs AD Ceuta FC
1–1
D
28 Sep
@ Leganes
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burgos and Castellón.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Burgos vs Castellón?
On our numbers Burgos have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Castellón 51%.
How many goals will there be in Burgos vs Castellón?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burgos vs Castellón?
Our predicted score is Burgos 1–1 Castellón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Burgos vs Castellón?
Burgos vs Castellón (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
