AD Ceuta FC v Sporting Gijon Prediction & Expected Goals (1 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSporting Gijon to win ✓40% · @2.50

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.90

AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 1 November the Segunda División brings AD Ceuta FC against Sporting Gijon at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. Kick-off: 16:15 WAT. In the table, AD Ceuta FC are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 13 matches; Sporting Gijon are 7th (upper half) with 22. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

AD Ceuta FC, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Poblense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Sporting Gijon, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Guijuelo, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sporting Gijon, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for AD Ceuta FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AD Ceuta FC 1.3 xG, Sporting Gijon 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – AD Ceuta FC 38%, draw 22%, Sporting Gijon 40%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Sporting Gijon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AD Ceuta FC38%fair 2.63 · @2.45

Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30

Sporting Gijon40%fair 2.48 · @2.50

2.68Expected goals

1.31AD Ceuta FC xG

1.37Sporting Gijon xG

60%Both score

50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–09%

1–28%

2–18%

0–07%

From our goals model: AD Ceuta FC 1.3 – 1.4 Sporting Gijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sporting Gijon to win ✓	40%	2.48	2.50
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.28	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.66	1.65
Draw no bet	Sporting Gijon (draw no bet) ✓	52%	1.94	–
Asian handicap	AD Ceuta FC +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	50%	1.99	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Sporting Gijon to score first ✓	47%	2.11	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.36	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sporting Gijon / FT Sporting Gijon ✓	22%	4.51	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	11.90	–

AD Ceuta FC – last 6

WLLLDW

29 Oct	@ Poblense	2–1	W
25 Oct	@ Cadiz	1–3	L
18 Oct	vs Oviedo	1–2	L
10 Oct	vs Sabadell	1–2	L
4 Oct	@ Castellón	1–1	D
26 Sep	vs Real Sociedad II	3–1	W

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

100%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Sporting Gijon – last 6

WLWWWL

29 Oct	@ Guijuelo	3–1	W
25 Oct	@ Castellón	0–4	L
17 Oct	vs Albacete	2–1	W
11 Oct	@ Cadiz	1–0	W
4 Oct	vs Celta de Vigo II	3–2	W
27 Sep	@ Oviedo	0–2	L

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Team

Pts

+14

+18

-1

+10

-2

-2

-6

-6

-7

-12

-5

-2

-11

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon?

On our numbers AD Ceuta FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting Gijon 40%.

How many goals will there be in AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon?

Our predicted score is AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Sporting Gijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon?

AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

AD Ceuta FC v Sporting Gijon: numbers & prediction