Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Burgos v Celta de Vigo II in the Segunda División. In the table, Burgos are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 13 matches; Celta de Vigo II are 16th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Burgos, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Castellón, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Celta de Vigo II, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cordoba, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Burgos, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Celta de Vigo II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burgos 1.9 xG, Celta de Vigo II 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burgos 59%, draw 21%, Celta de Vigo II 20%.
Lower-risk option: Burgos or draw (80%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.78.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burgos 1–1 Celta de Vigo II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burgos59%fair 1.68 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.88
Celta de Vigo II20%fair 5.04 · @5.05
2.86Expected goals
1.88Burgos xG
0.97Celta de Vigo II xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Burgos 1.9 – 1.0 Celta de Vigo II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burgos to win✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Double chance
Burgos or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.78
Draw no bet
Burgos (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Celta de Vigo II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.08
First team to score
Burgos to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Burgos ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burgos / FT Burgos✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Burgos – last 6
DWWWLL
1 Nov
vs Castellón
1–1
D
29 Oct
@ Laredo
4–2
W
26 Oct
@ FC Andorra
3–2
W
18 Oct
vs Sabadell
1–0
W
12 Oct
vs Granada CF
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Almeria
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo II – last 6
DLDWLD
31 Oct
vs Cordoba
2–2
D
24 Oct
@ Girona
1–5
L
19 Oct
vs Tenerife
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Real Sociedad II
4–1
W
4 Oct
@ Sporting Gijon
2–3
L
26 Sep
vs Sabadell
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burgos and Celta de Vigo II.
What is the prediction for Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?
On our numbers Burgos have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Celta de Vigo II 20%.
How many goals will there be in Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our predicted score is Burgos 1–1 Celta de Vigo II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?
Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
