Value bet: Albacete to win @ 3.54 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLeganes to win ✗46% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.68
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Leganes vs Albacete: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Leganes v Albacete in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Municipal de Butarque. In the table, Leganes are 18th, lower half, on 12 points after 13 matches; Albacete are 21st (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Leganes, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Valladolid, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Albacete, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sabadell, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Albacete, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Leganes.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Jul 2026) it ended Leganes 0–0 Albacete.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leganes 1.5 xG, Albacete 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leganes 46%, draw 21%, Albacete 33%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.68.
Price worth noting: Albacete to win @3.54 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leganes 1–1 Albacete. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leganes46%fair 2.20 · @1.96
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.54
Albacete33%fair 3.01 · @3.54
2.67Expected goals
1.47Leganes xG
1.20Albacete xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Leganes 1.5 – 1.2 Albacete expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Leganes vs Albacete?
On our numbers Leganes have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Albacete 33%.
How many goals will there be in Leganes vs Albacete?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leganes vs Albacete?
Our predicted score is Leganes 1–1 Albacete, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Leganes vs Albacete?
Leganes vs Albacete (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.