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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leganes v Albacete: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Spain · Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Leganes

LDLLL
1–3
FT
Leganes 46%Draw 21%Albacete 33% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.20
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Albacete to win @ 3.54 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLeganes to win ✗46% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.68
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14

Leganes vs Albacete: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:30 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Leganes v Albacete in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Municipal de Butarque. In the table, Leganes are 18th, lower half, on 12 points after 13 matches; Albacete are 21st (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Leganes, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Valladolid, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Albacete, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sabadell, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Albacete, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Leganes.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Jul 2026) it ended Leganes 0–0 Albacete.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leganes 1.5 xG, Albacete 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leganes 46%, draw 21%, Albacete 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.68.
  • Price worth noting: Albacete to win @3.54 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leganes 1–1 Albacete. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leganes46%fair 2.20 · @1.96
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.54
Albacete33%fair 3.01 · @3.54
2.67Expected goals
1.47Leganes xG
1.20Albacete xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%

From our goals model: Leganes 1.5 – 1.2 Albacete expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeganes to win ✗46%2.201.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.27
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.68
Draw no betLeganes (draw no bet) ✗58%1.73–
Asian handicapAlbacete +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.341.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.981.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.411.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.07
First team to scoreLeganes to score first ✗51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leganes / FT Leganes ✗26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.14–

Recent results

Leganes – last 6

LDLLLL
2 Nov@ Valladolid3–4L
24 Octvs Mallorca1–1D
16 Octvs Cordoba0–1L
11 Oct@ Almeria0–3L
3 Oct@ Cadiz0–4L
28 Sepvs Castellón0–2L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Albacete – last 6

WWLLLL
31 Octvs Sabadell2–1W
25 Octvs Eldense2–0W
17 Oct@ Sporting Gijon1–2L
12 Oct@ Valladolid0–5L
3 Octvs Eibar1–3L
25 Sep@ Girona0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Jul 2026Leganes v Albacete0–0
Leganes vs Albacete head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Almeria13922+1429
2Castellón12831+1827
3Burgos13733+524
4Eibar12723+723
5Granada CF12723+623
6Mallorca12642+822
7Sporting Gijon13715-122
8Girona13634+1021
9Oviedo13634+321
10Las Palmas13625-220
11Cordoba13616019
12Valladolid13535+218
13Sabadell13463+118
14Tenerife12363-215
15Eldense13427-614
16Celta de Vigo II13346-613
17Real Sociedad II13337-712
18Leganes13337-1212
19FC Andorra12327-511
20Cadiz13247-210
21Albacete13319-1110
22AD Ceuta FC131210-205

More Segunda División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leganes vs Albacete?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Leganes vs Albacete?

On our numbers Leganes have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Albacete 33%.

How many goals will there be in Leganes vs Albacete?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leganes vs Albacete?

Our predicted score is Leganes 1–1 Albacete, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Leganes vs Albacete?

Leganes vs Albacete (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.