Girona v Almeria Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGirona to win ✗48% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73

Girona vs Almeria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Girona welcome Almeria to Estadio Municipal de Montilivi for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 8 November (16:15 WAT). In the table, Girona are 8th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Almeria are 1st (leading the league) with 29.

Current form

Girona, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Sociedad II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Almeria, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Eibar, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Girona 1.6 xG, Almeria 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Girona 48%, draw 22%, Almeria 30%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Almeria to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Girona 1–1 Almeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Girona48%fair 2.08 · @2.00

Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.40

Almeria30%fair 3.32 · @3.70

2.77Expected goals

1.58Girona xG

1.18Almeria xG

57%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

2–08%

0–17%

1–27%

From our goals model: Girona 1.6 – 1.2 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Girona to win ✗	48%	2.08	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.28	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.75	1.67
Draw no bet	Girona (draw no bet) ✗	61%	1.63	–
Asian handicap	Almeria +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	76%	1.31	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.91	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	68%	1.47	1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.14
First team to score	Girona to score first ✗	54%	1.87	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.42	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Girona / FT Girona ✗	28%	3.59	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.73	–

Girona – last 6

LWWWDD

31 Oct	@ Real Sociedad II	0–1	L
27 Oct	@ Cuarte	2–0	W
24 Oct	vs Celta de Vigo II	5–1	W
18 Oct	vs FC Andorra	2–0	W
12 Oct	@ Tenerife	1–1	D
4 Oct	vs Mallorca	0–0	D

1.7Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Almeria – last 6

DDDWWW

31 Oct	@ Eibar	1–1	D
27 Oct	@ Castellonense	0–0	D
24 Oct	vs Oviedo	2–2	D
17 Oct	@ Real Sociedad II	4–2	W
11 Oct	vs Leganes	3–0	W
3 Oct	vs Burgos	2–1	W

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Team

Pts

+14

+18

-1

+10

-2

-2

-6

-6

-7

-12

-5

-2

-11

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Girona vs Almeria?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Girona vs Almeria?

On our numbers Girona have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Almeria 30%.

How many goals will there be in Girona vs Almeria?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Girona vs Almeria?

Our predicted score is Girona 1–1 Almeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Girona vs Almeria?

Girona vs Almeria (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Girona v Almeria: numbers & prediction