Value bet: Eldense to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLas Palmas to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.07
Las Palmas vs Eldense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Segunda División brings Las Palmas against Eldense at Estadio de Gran Canaria. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Las Palmas are 10th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Eldense are 15th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Las Palmas, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Oviedo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Eldense, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Granada CF, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Eldense, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Las Palmas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Las Palmas 1.5 xG, Eldense 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Las Palmas 45%, draw 21%, Eldense 34%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Eldense to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Las Palmas 1–1 Eldense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Las Palmas45%fair 2.23 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.50
Eldense34%fair 2.98 · @3.50
2.83Expected goals
1.54Las Palmas xG
1.29Eldense xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Las Palmas 1.5 – 1.3 Eldense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Palmas to win✓
45%
2.23
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Draw no bet
Las Palmas (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Eldense +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.14
First team to score
Las Palmas to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Las Palmas / FT Las Palmas✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.07
–
Recent results
Las Palmas – last 6
WDWLLD
2 Nov
@ Oviedo
3–2
W
27 Oct
@ RSD Alcalá
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Real Sociedad II
1–0
W
17 Oct
vs Castellón
0–3
L
11 Oct
@ Mallorca
1–3
L
4 Oct
vs Valladolid
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Eldense – last 6
LWLWWW
1 Nov
vs Granada CF
0–2
L
29 Oct
@ Atlético Baleares
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ Albacete
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Valladolid
3–2
W
10 Oct
vs Cordoba
2–1
W
2 Oct
vs Oviedo
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Palmas and Eldense.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Eldense?
On our numbers Las Palmas have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Eldense 34%.
How many goals will there be in Las Palmas vs Eldense?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Palmas vs Eldense?
Our predicted score is Las Palmas 1–1 Eldense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Las Palmas vs Eldense?
Las Palmas vs Eldense (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Gran Canaria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
