Value bet: Getafe to win @ 3.75 – our chance 38% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +43%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGetafe to win ✗38% · @3.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.08
Alaves vs Getafe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alaves welcome Getafe to Estadio Mendizorrotza for a La Liga fixture on Saturday 15 August (18:30 WAT). In the table, Alaves are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 12 matches; Getafe are 15th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alaves, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Racing Santander, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Getafe, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tottenham, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Alaves, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Getafe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alaves 1.0 xG, Getafe 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alaves 35%, draw 27%, Getafe 38%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Getafe to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alaves 0–1 Getafe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alaves35%fair 2.83 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @2.70
Getafe38%fair 2.62 · @3.75
1.97Expected goals
0.96Alaves xG
1.01Getafe xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Alaves 1.0 – 1.0 Getafe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Getafe to win✗
38%
2.62
3.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.55
Draw no bet
Getafe (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Alaves +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
1.03
First team to score
Getafe to score first✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.08
–
Recent results
Alaves – last 6
DWWDWW
7 Aug
@ Racing Santander
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Castellón
3–0
W
25 Jul
@ Girona
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Eibar
1–1
D
17 May
@ Oviedo
1–0
W
13 May
vs Barcelona
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Getafe – last 6
DLLDWW
8 Aug
@ Tottenham
1–1
D
6 Aug
@ Monaco
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Atletico Madrid
1–4
L
25 Jul
@ Valladolid
0–0
D
22 Jul
@ Tenerife
2–1
W
17 Jul
vs Reading
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alaves and Getafe.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Alaves vs Getafe?
On our numbers Alaves have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Getafe 38%.
How many goals will there be in Alaves vs Getafe?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Getafe?
Our predicted score is Alaves 0–1 Getafe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Alaves vs Getafe?
Alaves vs Getafe (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mendizorrotza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
