Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sevilla to win @ 2.28 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSevilla to win ✓50% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.40
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 15 August the La Liga brings Sevilla against Rayo Vallecano. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Sevilla are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 12 matches; Rayo Vallecano are 14th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Sevilla, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Rayo Vallecano, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Ipswich, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sevilla, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Rayo Vallecano.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Sevilla 1–1 Rayo Vallecano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sevilla 1.4 xG, Rayo Vallecano 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sevilla 50%, draw 24%, Rayo Vallecano 26%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Sevilla to win @2.28 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sevilla 1–0 Rayo Vallecano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sevilla50%fair 2.01 · @2.28
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.05
Rayo Vallecano26%fair 3.85 · @3.30
2.36Expected goals
1.42Sevilla xG
0.93Rayo Vallecano xG
47%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
2–010%
0–09%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Sevilla 1.4 – 0.9 Rayo Vallecano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
On our numbers Sevilla have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rayo Vallecano 26%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our predicted score is Sevilla 1–0 Rayo Vallecano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
