Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAthletic Club to win ✗60% · @1.69
Double chanceAthletic Club or draw ✗84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Athletic Club vs Sevilla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the La Liga brings Athletic Club against Sevilla. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Athletic Club are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Sevilla are 6th (upper half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Athletic Club, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Zaragoza, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Sevilla, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rayo Vallecano, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sevilla, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Athletic Club.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Athletic Club 1.8 xG, Sevilla 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Athletic Club 60%, draw 24%, Sevilla 16%.
Lower-risk option: Athletic Club or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athletic Club 2–0 Sevilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Athletic Club60%fair 1.66 · @1.69
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.50
Sevilla16%fair 6.33 · @5.20
2.70Expected goals
1.85Athletic Club xG
0.85Sevilla xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Athletic Club 1.8 – 0.8 Sevilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club to win✗
60%
1.66
1.69
Double chance
Athletic Club or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Athletic Club (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Athletic Club -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.07
First team to score
Athletic Club to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Athletic Club ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club / FT Athletic Club✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Athletic Club – last 6
LLLWWD
21 Aug
@ Zaragoza
1–3
L
14 Aug
@ Atalanta
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ Marseille
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ Burgos
3–0
W
29 Jul
@ Racing Santander
3–0
W
25 Jul
vs Eibar
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sevilla – last 6
WLWWWD
15 Aug
vs Rayo Vallecano
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Bayer Leverkusen
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Utrecht
1–0
W
31 Jul
@ NEC Nijmegen
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs AD Ceuta FC
2–1
W
23 Jul
@ Cordoba
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club and Sevilla.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club vs Sevilla?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Sevilla?
On our numbers Athletic Club have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sevilla 16%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club vs Sevilla?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club vs Sevilla?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club 2–0 Sevilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club vs Sevilla?
Athletic Club vs Sevilla (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
