Value bet: Celta Vigo to win @ 3.15 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCelta Vigo to win ✗40% · @3.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.51
Valencia vs Celta Vigo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Valencia welcome Celta Vigo to Estadio de Mestalla for a La Liga fixture on Saturday 22 August (18:30 WAT). In the table, Valencia are 19th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 12 matches; Celta Vigo are 11th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Valencia, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Newcastle, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Celta Vigo, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Napoli, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Celta Vigo, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Valencia.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Valencia 2–3 Celta Vigo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valencia 1.2 xG, Celta Vigo 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valencia 37%, draw 23%, Celta Vigo 40%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Celta Vigo to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valencia 1–1 Celta Vigo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valencia37%fair 2.69 · @2.28
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.20
Celta Vigo40%fair 2.51 · @3.15
2.39Expected goals
1.17Valencia xG
1.22Celta Vigo xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Valencia 1.2 – 1.2 Celta Vigo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
On our numbers Valencia have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Celta Vigo 40%.
How many goals will there be in Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
Our predicted score is Valencia 1–1 Celta Vigo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
Valencia vs Celta Vigo (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Mestalla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
