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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Celta Vigo v Athletic Club: numbers & prediction

La Liga · Spain · Estadio Abanca Balaídos
0–2
FT
Celta Vigo 43%Draw 23%Athletic Club 34% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.08
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultCelta Vigo to win ✗43% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.96

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 30 August the La Liga brings Celta Vigo against Athletic Club at Estadio Abanca Balaídos. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Celta Vigo are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 12 matches; Athletic Club are 7th (upper half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Celta Vigo, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Osasuna, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Athletic Club, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Barcelona, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Celta Vigo, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Athletic Club.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Athletic Club 1–1 Celta Vigo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Celta Vigo 1.3 xG, Athletic Club 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Celta Vigo 43%, draw 23%, Athletic Club 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celta Vigo 1–1 Athletic Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Celta Vigo43%fair 2.31 · @2.34
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.20
Athletic Club34%fair 2.97 · @3.05
2.37Expected goals
1.28Celta Vigo xG
1.08Athletic Club xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Celta Vigo 1.3 – 1.1 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCelta Vigo to win ✗43%2.312.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.80
Draw no betCelta Vigo (draw no bet) ✗56%1.78–
Asian handicapAthletic Club +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.08
First team to scoreCelta Vigo to score first ✗49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Celta Vigo / FT Celta Vigo ✗24%4.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.96–

Recent results

Celta Vigo – last 6

LDDWDW
27 Augvs Osasuna1–2L
22 Aug@ Valencia0–0D
8 Aug@ Napoli1–1D
5 Aug@ Sassuolo4–1W
29 Julvs Academico Viseu2–2D
25 Julvs Sporting Gijon1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Athletic Club – last 6

LLLLLW
27 Aug@ Barcelona0–2L
22 Augvs Sevilla1–3L
21 Aug@ Zaragoza1–3L
14 Aug@ Atalanta0–1L
9 Aug@ Marseille1–3L
1 Aug@ Burgos3–0W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Athletic Club v Celta Vigo1–1
Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club head-to-head page →

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona121101+3533
2Real Madrid121002+2130
3Atletico Madrid12912+1328
4Real Betis12822+526
5Real Sociedad12714+122
6Sevilla12534-218
7Athletic Club11443+416
8Villarreal12435+215
9Deportivo La Coruna12363+115
10Racing Santander12426-1314
11Celta Vigo12273013
12Alaves12345-213
13Espanyol12336-112
14Rayo Vallecano11335-612
15Getafe12336-1012
16Osasuna12336-1112
17Levante12255-511
18Elche12246-610
19Valencia12237-129
20Malaga12057-145

More La Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?

On our numbers Celta Vigo have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Athletic Club 34%.

How many goals will there be in Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?

Our predicted score is Celta Vigo 1–1 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abanca Balaídos.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.