Deportivo La Coruna 36%Draw 24%Valencia 39%Expected goals 0.86 – 0.91
84%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Valencia to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultValencia to win ✗39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 16.45
Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Deportivo La Coruna v Valencia in the La Liga, played at Estadio Riazor. In the table, Deportivo La Coruna are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Valencia are 19th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Deportivo La Coruna, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Malaga, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Valencia, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Betis, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo La Coruna 0.9 xG, Valencia 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo La Coruna 36%, draw 24%, Valencia 39%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Valencia to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo La Coruna 0–0 Valencia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo La Coruna36%fair 2.76 · @2.48
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Valencia39%fair 2.54 · @3.00
1.77Expected goals
0.86Deportivo La Coruna xG
0.91Valencia xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
0–116%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Coruna 0.9 – 0.9 Valencia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valencia to win✗
39%
2.54
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.95
Draw no bet
Valencia (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo La Coruna +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.57 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
1.05
First team to score
Valencia to score first
43%
2.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
6%
16.45
–
Recent results
Deportivo La Coruna – last 6
DDLWDD
24 Aug
@ Malaga
1–1
D
17 Aug
vs Elche
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Real Madrid
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Genoa
1–0
W
6 Aug
@ Fiorentina
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ FC St. Pauli
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Valencia – last 6
LDLDWL
25 Aug
vs Real Betis
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Celta Vigo
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Newcastle
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Stoke City
1–1
D
28 Jul
@ Derby
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Castellón
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo La Coruna and Valencia.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?
On our numbers Deportivo La Coruna have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Valencia 39%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Coruna 0–0 Valencia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?
Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Riazor.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
