Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Levante to win @ 3.00 – our chance 43% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLevante to win ✗43% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.16
Malaga vs Levante: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 6 September the La Liga brings Malaga against Levante at Estadio La Rosaleda. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Malaga are 20th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 12 matches; Levante are 17th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Malaga, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Real Madrid, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Levante, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Real Betis, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Levante, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Malaga.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malaga 1.4 xG, Levante 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malaga 34%, draw 23%, Levante 43%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Levante to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malaga 1–1 Levante. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malaga34%fair 2.97 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.20
Levante43%fair 2.31 · @3.00
3.00Expected goals
1.39Malaga xG
1.61Levante xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Malaga 1.4 – 1.6 Levante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Levante to win✗
43%
2.31
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Levante (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Malaga +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Levante to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Levante / FT Levante✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Malaga – last 6
LDLDLW
30 Aug
@ Real Madrid
0–4
L
24 Aug
vs Deportivo La Coruna
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Atletico Madrid
0–2
L
12 Aug
vs Fulham
2–2
D
7 Aug
@ AD Ceuta FC
1–2
L
6 Aug
vs Al-Arabi SC
4–2
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Levante – last 6
WDLWLW
29 Aug
vs Real Betis
5–2
W
24 Aug
@ Osasuna
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Espanyol
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Castellón
3–1
W
5 Aug
@ Villarreal
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Albacete
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malaga and Levante.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Malaga vs Levante?
On our numbers Malaga have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Levante 43%.
How many goals will there be in Malaga vs Levante?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malaga vs Levante?
Our predicted score is Malaga 1–1 Levante, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Malaga vs Levante?
Malaga vs Levante (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Rosaleda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
