Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
2
Value bet: Espanyol to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOsasuna to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24
Osasuna vs Espanyol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:15 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Osasuna v Espanyol in the La Liga, played at Estadio El Sadar. In the table, Osasuna are 16th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Espanyol are 13th (lower half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Osasuna, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Alaves, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Espanyol, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sevilla, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Osasuna 1–2 Espanyol.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Osasuna 1.5 xG, Espanyol 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Osasuna 43%, draw 23%, Espanyol 33%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Espanyol to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Osasuna 1–1 Espanyol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Osasuna43%fair 2.32 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.10
Espanyol33%fair 2.99 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.48Osasuna xG
1.27Espanyol xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Osasuna 1.5 – 1.3 Espanyol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Osasuna vs Espanyol?
On our numbers Osasuna have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Espanyol 33%.
How many goals will there be in Osasuna vs Espanyol?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Espanyol?
Our predicted score is Osasuna 1–1 Espanyol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Osasuna vs Espanyol?
Osasuna vs Espanyol (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Sadar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
