Racing Santander 35%Draw 22%Alaves 43%Expected goals 1.65 – 1.85
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Alaves to win @ 2.75 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlaves to win ✗43% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Racing Santander vs Alaves: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Racing Santander welcome Alaves to Estadio El Sardinero for a La Liga fixture on Saturday 12 September (13:00 WAT). In the table, Racing Santander are 10th, upper half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Alaves are 12th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Racing Santander, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Rayo Vallecano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Alaves, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Osasuna, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Alaves, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Racing Santander.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Aug 2026) it ended Racing Santander 1–1 Alaves.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Racing Santander 1.6 xG, Alaves 1.9 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Santander 35%, draw 22%, Alaves 43%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Alaves to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Santander 1–1 Alaves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Racing Santander35%fair 2.85 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Alaves43%fair 2.31 · @2.75
3.50Expected goals
1.65Racing Santander xG
1.85Alaves xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–35%
From our goals model: Racing Santander 1.6 – 1.9 Alaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Racing Santander vs Alaves?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Alaves?
On our numbers Racing Santander have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alaves 43%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Santander vs Alaves?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Santander vs Alaves?
Our predicted score is Racing Santander 1–1 Alaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Racing Santander vs Alaves?
Racing Santander vs Alaves (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Sardinero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
