Value bet: Sevilla to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSevilla to win ✓38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.81
Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sevilla travel to face Deportivo La Coruna on Wednesday 16 September in the La Liga, with Estadio de Riazor the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo La Coruna are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Sevilla are 6th (upper half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Deportivo La Coruna, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Getafe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sevilla, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Valencia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo La Coruna 1.4 xG, Sevilla 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo La Coruna 37%, draw 24%, Sevilla 38%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Sevilla to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 Sevilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo La Coruna37%fair 2.68 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.00
Sevilla38%fair 2.60 · @2.90
2.90Expected goals
1.44Deportivo La Coruna xG
1.46Sevilla xG
54%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Coruna 1.4 – 1.5 Sevilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevilla to win✓
38%
2.60
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Sevilla (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo La Coruna +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Sevilla to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevilla / FT Sevilla✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
Deportivo La Coruna – last 6
DWWDDL
13 Sep
@ Getafe
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Villarreal
3–2
W
30 Aug
vs Valencia
3–1
W
24 Aug
@ Malaga
1–1
D
17 Aug
vs Elche
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Real Madrid
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sevilla – last 6
WDLWWL
11 Sep
vs Valencia
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Espanyol
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Atletico Madrid
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Athletic Club
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs Rayo Vallecano
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Bayer Leverkusen
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo La Coruna and Sevilla.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?
On our numbers Deportivo La Coruna have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sevilla 38%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 Sevilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?
Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla (La Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Riazor.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
