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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Getafe v Malaga: numbers & prediction

La Liga · Spain · Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

Getafe

LDDLL
1–0
FT

Malaga

LDDLD
Getafe 49%Draw 24%Malaga 26% Expected goals 1.22 – 0.78
52%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 2.25 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultGetafe to win ✓49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.72

Getafe vs Malaga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Malaga travel to face Getafe on Sunday 20 September in the La Liga, with Coliseum Alfonso Pérez the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Getafe are 15th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Malaga are 20th (in the drop zone) with 5.

Current form

Getafe, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Betis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Malaga, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Villarreal, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Getafe 1.2 xG, Malaga 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Getafe 49%, draw 24%, Malaga 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.25.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.25 – longer than our fair 1.94, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Getafe 1–1 Malaga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Getafe49%fair 2.03 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.00
Malaga26%fair 3.80 · @4.00
2.00Expected goals
1.22Getafe xG
0.78Malaga xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%

From our goals model: Getafe 1.2 – 0.8 Malaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGetafe to win ✓49%2.032.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.942.25 ▲
Draw no betGetafe (draw no bet) ✓65%1.53–
Asian handicapMalaga +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreGetafe to score first ✓53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Getafe / FT Getafe ✗27%3.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.72–

Recent results

Getafe – last 6

LDDLLW
17 Sep@ Real Betis0–1L
13 Sepvs Deportivo La Coruna1–1D
7 Sepvs Celta Vigo1–1D
31 Aug@ Osasuna0–1L
27 Aug@ FK Partizan1–2L
23 Augvs Racing Santander1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Malaga – last 6

LDDLDL
17 Sepvs Villarreal1–3L
13 Sep@ Celta Vigo1–1D
6 Sepvs Levante0–0D
30 Aug@ Real Madrid0–4L
24 Augvs Deportivo La Coruna1–1D
19 Aug@ Atletico Madrid0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Getafe and Malaga.

Getafe vs Malaga head-to-head page →

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona121101+3533
2Real Madrid121002+2130
3Atletico Madrid12912+1328
4Real Betis12822+526
5Real Sociedad12714+122
6Sevilla12534-218
7Athletic Club11443+416
8Villarreal12435+215
9Deportivo La Coruna12363+115
10Racing Santander12426-1314
11Celta Vigo12273013
12Alaves12345-213
13Espanyol12336-112
14Rayo Vallecano11335-612
15Getafe12336-1012
16Osasuna12336-1112
17Levante12255-511
18Elche12246-610
19Valencia12237-129
20Malaga12057-145

More La Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Getafe vs Malaga?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.

Who will win Getafe vs Malaga?

On our numbers Getafe have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Malaga 26%.

How many goals will there be in Getafe vs Malaga?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Getafe vs Malaga?

Our predicted score is Getafe 1–1 Malaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Getafe vs Malaga?

Getafe vs Malaga (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.