Barcelona 79%Draw 16%Alaves 5%Expected goals 2.99 – 0.81
58%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultBarcelona to win ✓79% · @1.11
Double chanceBarcelona or draw ✓95% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.36
Barcelona vs Alaves: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alaves travel to face Barcelona on Saturday 31 October in the La Liga, with Camp Nou the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Barcelona are 1st, leading the league, on 33 points after 12 matches; Alaves are 12th (lower half) with 13. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Barcelona, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Real Madrid, at home. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Alaves, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Malaga, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Barcelona, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Alaves.
Head to head
When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Alaves 1–0 Barcelona.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barcelona 3.0 xG, Alaves 0.8 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barcelona 79%, draw 16%, Alaves 5%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.72, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barcelona 2–1 Alaves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barcelona79%fair 1.27 · @1.11
Draw16%fair 6.24 · @9.50
Alaves5%fair 20.05 · @19.00
3.80Expected goals
2.99Barcelona xG
0.81Alaves xG
58%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
3–010%
2–18%
3–18%
4–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Barcelona 3.0 – 0.8 Alaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Barcelona vs Alaves?
On our numbers Barcelona have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Alaves 5%.
How many goals will there be in Barcelona vs Alaves?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barcelona vs Alaves?
Our predicted score is Barcelona 2–1 Alaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Barcelona vs Alaves?
Barcelona vs Alaves (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Camp Nou.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
