Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
2
Value bet: Celta Vigo to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCelta Vigo to win ✗39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.21
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Celta Vigo travel to face Rayo Vallecano on Saturday 31 October in the La Liga, with Campo de Futbol de Vallecas the venue – the ball rolls at 16:15 WAT. In the table, Rayo Vallecano are 14th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Celta Vigo are 11th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rayo Vallecano, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Recreativo Huelva, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Celta Vigo, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Real Betis, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Celta Vigo, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Rayo Vallecano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rayo Vallecano 1.3 xG, Celta Vigo 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rayo Vallecano 38%, draw 23%, Celta Vigo 39%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Celta Vigo to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.72, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta Vigo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rayo Vallecano38%fair 2.63 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.20
Celta Vigo39%fair 2.57 · @3.00
2.58Expected goals
1.28Rayo Vallecano xG
1.30Celta Vigo xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Rayo Vallecano 1.3 – 1.3 Celta Vigo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celta Vigo to win✗
39%
2.57
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.80
Draw no bet
Celta Vigo (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Rayo Vallecano +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Celta Vigo to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celta Vigo / FT Celta Vigo✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.21
–
Recent results
Rayo Vallecano – last 6
DLDDWL
27 Oct
@ Recreativo Huelva
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Elche
0–3
L
19 Oct
@ Getafe
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Osasuna
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Espanyol
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Real Madrid
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Celta Vigo – last 6
DWWLDW
25 Oct
vs Real Betis
0–0
D
22 Oct
@ Celtic
2–1
W
18 Oct
vs Alaves
2–1
W
15 Oct
vs Juventus
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Elche
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Racing Santander
5–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rayo Vallecano and Celta Vigo.
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
On our numbers Rayo Vallecano have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Celta Vigo 39%.
How many goals will there be in Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
Our predicted score is Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta Vigo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
