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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Osasuna v Athletic Club: numbers & prediction

La Liga · Spain · Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna

LWLWL
1–1
FT
Osasuna 30%Draw 22%Athletic Club 48% Expected goals 1.10 – 1.50
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Osasuna to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAthletic Club to win ✗48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.90

Osasuna vs Athletic Club: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Athletic Club travel to face Osasuna on Saturday 7 November in the La Liga, with Estadio El Sadar the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Osasuna are 16th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Athletic Club are 7th (upper half) with 16.

Current form

Osasuna, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Deportivo La Coruna, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Athletic Club, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Real Sociedad, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Athletic Club, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Osasuna.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended Athletic Club 1–0 Osasuna.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Osasuna 1.1 xG, Athletic Club 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Osasuna 30%, draw 22%, Athletic Club 48%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Osasuna to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Osasuna 1–1 Athletic Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Osasuna30%fair 3.33 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.50
Athletic Club48%fair 2.07 · @2.05
2.60Expected goals
1.10Osasuna xG
1.50Athletic Club xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Osasuna 1.1 – 1.5 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAthletic Club to win ✗48%2.072.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.821.95 ▲
Draw no betAthletic Club (draw no bet)62%1.62–
Asian handicapOsasuna +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.401.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.871.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.08
First team to scoreAthletic Club to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Athletic Club / FT Athletic Club ✗27%3.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.90–

Recent results

Osasuna – last 6

LWLWLD
2 Nov@ Deportivo La Coruna1–2L
29 Oct@ Atletico Calatayud6–0W
26 Oct@ Sevilla0–2L
18 Octvs Racing Santander2–0W
11 Oct@ Real Betis2–5L
19 Sepvs Rayo Vallecano1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Athletic Club – last 6

WWWLDD
1 Novvs Real Sociedad2–1W
29 Oct@ Prat6–1W
25 Octvs Getafe4–0W
21 Oct@ Levante1–3L
17 Oct@ Valencia0–0D
19 Sepvs Alaves0–0D
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Apr 2026Athletic Club v Osasuna1–0
Osasuna vs Athletic Club head-to-head page →

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona121101+3533
2Real Madrid121002+2130
3Atletico Madrid12912+1328
4Real Betis12822+526
5Real Sociedad12714+122
6Sevilla12534-218
7Athletic Club11443+416
8Villarreal12435+215
9Deportivo La Coruna12363+115
10Racing Santander12426-1314
11Celta Vigo12273013
12Alaves12345-213
13Espanyol12336-112
14Rayo Vallecano11335-612
15Getafe12336-1012
16Osasuna12336-1112
17Levante12255-511
18Elche12246-610
19Valencia12237-129
20Malaga12057-145

More La Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Osasuna vs Athletic Club?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Osasuna vs Athletic Club?

On our numbers Osasuna have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Athletic Club 48%.

How many goals will there be in Osasuna vs Athletic Club?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Athletic Club?

Our predicted score is Osasuna 1–1 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Osasuna vs Athletic Club?

Osasuna vs Athletic Club (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Sadar.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.