Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✓11% · fair 9.10
Valencia vs Real Madrid: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the La Liga brings Valencia against Real Madrid at Estadio de Mestalla. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Valencia are 19th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 12 matches; Real Madrid are 2nd (among the top four) with 30. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Valencia, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Elche, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Real Madrid, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over AEK Athens FC, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Real Madrid, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.3 for Valencia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valencia 0.7 xG, Real Madrid 2.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 45% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valencia 7%, draw 18%, Real Madrid 76%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Madrid to win (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valencia 0–2 Real Madrid. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valencia7%fair 15.08 · @11.00
Draw18%fair 5.66 · @7.00
Real Madrid76%fair 1.32 · @1.22
3.12Expected goals
0.66Valencia xG
2.46Real Madrid xG
45%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–213%
0–311%
0–111%
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
From our goals model: Valencia 0.7 – 2.5 Real Madrid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Double chance
Real Madrid or draw✓
93%
1.07
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.91
Draw no bet
Real Madrid (draw no bet)✓
92%
1.09
–
Asian handicap
Real Madrid -1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.30
First team to score
Real Madrid to score first✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Real Madrid ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid / FT Real Madrid✓
53%
1.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✓
11%
9.10
–
Recent results
Valencia – last 6
WLDDLW
1 Nov
@ Elche
1–0
W
24 Oct
vs Villarreal
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Athletic Club
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Racing Santander
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Real Sociedad
2–3
L
15 Sep
@ Alaves
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Madrid – last 6
WWWWWW
4 Nov
@ AEK Athens FC
3–2
W
1 Nov
@ Racing Santander
3–0
W
25 Oct
@ Barcelona
2–1
W
21 Oct
vs RB Leipzig
4–1
W
18 Oct
vs Sevilla
4–1
W
14 Oct
@ AS Roma
4–3
W
3.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valencia and Real Madrid.
What is the prediction for Valencia vs Real Madrid?
Our pick is Real Madrid to win with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Valencia vs Real Madrid?
On our numbers Valencia have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Madrid 76%.
How many goals will there be in Valencia vs Real Madrid?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valencia vs Real Madrid?
Our predicted score is Valencia 0–2 Real Madrid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Valencia vs Real Madrid?
Valencia vs Real Madrid (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Mestalla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
