Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 52% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +66%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗52% · @3.20
Double chanceMirandes or draw ✗78% · @1.42
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.93
Cacereño vs Mirandes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cacereño welcome Mirandes to Estadio Principe Felipe for a Primera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Friday 28 August (20:15 WAT). In the table, Cacereño are 10th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Mirandes are 5th (upper half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cacereño, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Unionistas de Salamanca, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mirandes, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to UD Logroñés, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 6. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cacereño 1.3 xG, Mirandes 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cacereño 22%, draw 52%, Mirandes 26%.
Lower-risk option: Mirandes or draw (78%) at 1.42.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mirandes or draw (78%, odds 1.42 – longer than our fair 1.29, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cacereño 1–1 Mirandes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cacereño22%fair 4.48 · @2.70
Draw52%fair 1.93 · @3.20
Mirandes26%fair 3.87 · @2.40
2.58Expected goals
1.25Cacereño xG
1.33Mirandes xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Cacereño 1.3 – 1.3 Mirandes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
52%
1.93
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Mirandes or draw✗
78%
1.29
1.42 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Draw no bet
Mirandes (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Cacereño +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Mirandes to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mirandes / FT Mirandes✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.93
–
Recent results
Cacereño – last 6
LWWLWL
21 Aug
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Villanovense
2–0
W
3 May
@ Arenteiro
4–0
W
17 Apr
@ Celta de Vigo II
0–3
L
10 Apr
vs Athletic Club II
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Lugo
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mirandes – last 6
LWDWWL
21 Aug
@ UD Logroñés
0–4
L
19 Aug
@ La Calzada
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Real Madrid II
0–0
D
13 Aug
@ Atlético Madrid II
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Osasuna II
1–0
W
31 May
@ Leganes
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cacereño and Mirandes.
Our pick is Mirandes or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Cacereño vs Mirandes?
On our numbers Cacereño have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 52% and Mirandes 26%.
How many goals will there be in Cacereño vs Mirandes?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cacereño vs Mirandes?
Our predicted score is Cacereño 1–1 Mirandes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cacereño vs Mirandes?
Cacereño vs Mirandes (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Principe Felipe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
