Real Avilés 34%Draw 23%Pontevedra 43%Expected goals 1.09 – 1.28
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Pontevedra to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPontevedra to win ✓43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.95
Real Avilés vs Pontevedra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 28 August the Primera División RFEF Group 1 brings Real Avilés against Pontevedra at Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Real Avilés are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 11 matches; Pontevedra are 3rd (among the top four) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Real Avilés, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Sporting Gijón II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Pontevedra, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Coruxo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Real Avilés, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Pontevedra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Avilés 1.1 xG, Pontevedra 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Avilés 34%, draw 23%, Pontevedra 43%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Pontevedra to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Avilés 1–1 Pontevedra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Avilés34%fair 2.97 · @2.65
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Pontevedra43%fair 2.32 · @2.55
2.38Expected goals
1.09Real Avilés xG
1.28Pontevedra xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Real Avilés 1.1 – 1.3 Pontevedra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pontevedra to win✓
43%
2.32
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.85
Draw no bet
Pontevedra (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Real Avilés +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Pontevedra to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pontevedra / FT Pontevedra✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.95
–
Recent results
Real Avilés – last 6
WWDLDD
21 Aug
vs Sporting Gijón II
4–2
W
15 Aug
@ Mosconia
2–0
W
13 Aug
@ Racing Ferrol
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Racing Santander II
1–2
L
5 Aug
@ Cultural Leonesa
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Ponferradina
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pontevedra – last 6
LWWLLL
19 Aug
@ Coruxo
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Ourense CF
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Estradense
5–0
W
1 Aug
@ Arosa
1–3
L
17 May
@ Tenerife
0–3
L
8 Apr
@ Arenas Getxo
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Avilés and Pontevedra.
What is the prediction for Real Avilés vs Pontevedra?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Avilés vs Pontevedra?
On our numbers Real Avilés have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pontevedra 43%.
How many goals will there be in Real Avilés vs Pontevedra?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Avilés vs Pontevedra?
Our predicted score is Real Avilés 1–1 Pontevedra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Real Avilés vs Pontevedra?
Real Avilés vs Pontevedra (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
