Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗64% · fair 1.55
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 4.96
Mérida AD vs Mirandes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the Primera División RFEF Group 1 brings Mérida AD against Mirandes at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Mérida AD are 8th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Mirandes are 5th (upper half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mérida AD, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cultural Leonesa, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Mirandes, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over UD Ourense, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mirandes, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Mérida AD.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mérida AD 0.5 xG, Mirandes 0.7 xG – a total near 1.3. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 87%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mérida AD 33%, draw 24%, Mirandes 43%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mérida AD 0–0 Mirandes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mérida AD33%fair 3.03 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.90
Mirandes43%fair 2.34 · @2.20
1.25Expected goals
0.55Mérida AD xG
0.70Mirandes xG
49%Both score
13%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–029%
0–120%
1–016%
1–111%
0–27%
2–04%
From our goals model: Mérida AD 0.5 – 0.7 Mirandes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mirandes to win✓
43%
2.34
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Draw no bet
Mirandes (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Mérida AD +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
99%
1.01
–
First team to score
Mirandes to score first
40%
2.49
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
4.96
–
Recent results
Mérida AD – last 6
LWWLLL
6 Sep
@ Cultural Leonesa
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Deportivo La Coruña II
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Alcorcon
2–1
W
7 Aug
@ Leganes
0–3
L
25 Jul
@ Benfica B
0–4
L
9 May
@ Barakaldo
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mirandes – last 6
WLLWDW
5 Sep
vs UD Ourense
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ Cacereño
0–1
L
21 Aug
@ UD Logroñés
0–4
L
19 Aug
@ La Calzada
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Real Madrid II
0–0
D
13 Aug
@ Atlético Madrid II
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mérida AD and Mirandes.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Mérida AD vs Mirandes?
On our numbers Mérida AD have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mirandes 43%.
How many goals will there be in Mérida AD vs Mirandes?
We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 13% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mérida AD vs Mirandes?
Our predicted score is Mérida AD 0–0 Mirandes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.
When is Mérida AD vs Mirandes?
Mérida AD vs Mirandes (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
