UD Ourense vs UD Logroñés: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
UD Logroñés travel to face UD Ourense on Saturday 12 September in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT. In the table, UD Ourense are 20th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; UD Logroñés are 2nd (among the top four) with 23. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
UD Ourense, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mirandes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
UD Logroñés, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Zamora, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours UD Logroñés, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for UD Ourense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UD Ourense 1.0 xG, UD Logroñés 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UD Ourense 32%, draw 24%, UD Logroñés 43%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: UD Ourense 1–1 UD Logroñés. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UD Ourense32%fair 3.09 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.90
UD Logroñés43%fair 2.30 · @2.25
2.25Expected goals
1.01UD Ourense xG
1.24UD Logroñés xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: UD Ourense 1.0 – 1.2 UD Logroñés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UD Logroñés to win✓
43%
2.30
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Draw no bet
UD Logroñés (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
UD Ourense +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
UD Logroñés to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UD Logroñés / FT UD Logroñés✓
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.24
–
Recent results
UD Ourense – last 6
LLWWDW
5 Sep
@ Mirandes
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Ponferradina
0–1
L
31 May
@ Conquense
2–0
W
24 May
vs Conquense
1–0
W
3 May
vs Atlético Astorga
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Bergantiños
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
UD Logroñés – last 6
WWWWLW
6 Sep
@ Zamora
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Extremadura 1924
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Huesca II
4–0
W
21 Aug
vs Mirandes
4–0
W
14 Aug
vs Zaragoza
1–2
L
4 Aug
@ Huesca
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UD Ourense and UD Logroñés.
What is the prediction for UD Ourense vs UD Logroñés?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win UD Ourense vs UD Logroñés?
On our numbers UD Ourense have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and UD Logroñés 43%.
How many goals will there be in UD Ourense vs UD Logroñés?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UD Ourense vs UD Logroñés?
Our predicted score is UD Ourense 1–1 UD Logroñés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is UD Ourense vs UD Logroñés?
UD Ourense vs UD Logroñés (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
