Value bet: Zamora to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMirandes to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43
Mirandes vs Zamora: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Mirandes v Zamora in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, played at Estadio Municipal de Anduva. In the table, Mirandes are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Zamora are 16th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Mirandes, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ponferradina, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Zamora, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over CD Coria, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mirandes 1.4 xG, Zamora 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mirandes 45%, draw 23%, Zamora 32%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Zamora to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mirandes 1–1 Zamora. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mirandes45%fair 2.24 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.00
Zamora32%fair 3.09 · @3.30
2.50Expected goals
1.38Mirandes xG
1.12Zamora xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Mirandes 1.4 – 1.1 Zamora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mirandes to win✗
45%
2.24
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Draw no bet
Mirandes (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Zamora +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Mirandes to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mirandes / FT Mirandes✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.43
–
Recent results
Mirandes – last 6
LWDWWL
4 Oct
@ Ponferradina
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Real Unión
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Mérida AD
4–3
W
5 Sep
vs UD Ourense
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ Cacereño
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Zamora – last 6
WWLWLD
4 Oct
vs CD Coria
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Extremadura 1924
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Lugo
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Arenas Getxo
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs UD Logroñés
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Athletic Club II
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mirandes and Zamora.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Mirandes vs Zamora?
On our numbers Mirandes have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zamora 32%.
How many goals will there be in Mirandes vs Zamora?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirandes vs Zamora?
Our predicted score is Mirandes 1–1 Zamora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mirandes vs Zamora?
Mirandes vs Zamora (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
