Value bet: Barakaldo to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBarakaldo to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Barakaldo vs Real Unión: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the Primera División RFEF Group 1 brings Barakaldo against Real Unión at Campo de Lasesarre. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Barakaldo are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Real Unión are 13th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Barakaldo, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Pontevedra, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Real Unión, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Real Avilés, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barakaldo 1.7 xG, Real Unión 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barakaldo 57%, draw 21%, Real Unión 23%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Barakaldo to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barakaldo 1–1 Real Unión. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barakaldo57%fair 1.77 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.30
Real Unión23%fair 4.36 · @3.40
2.66Expected goals
1.70Barakaldo xG
0.96Real Unión xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Barakaldo 1.7 – 1.0 Real Unión expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barakaldo to win✓
57%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.80
Draw no bet
Barakaldo (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Real Unión +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.11
First team to score
Barakaldo to score first✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barakaldo / FT Barakaldo✓
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Barakaldo – last 6
DDWLDD
1 Nov
vs Pontevedra
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Ponferradina
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Mirandes
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ UD Ourense
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Real Avilés
3–3
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Unión – last 6
LWDDDL
31 Oct
vs Real Avilés
0–3
L
23 Oct
vs Lugo
4–1
W
17 Oct
@ Extremadura 1924
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ Athletic Club II
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs UD Ourense
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barakaldo and Real Unión.
What is the prediction for Barakaldo vs Real Unión?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Barakaldo vs Real Unión?
On our numbers Barakaldo have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Unión 23%.
How many goals will there be in Barakaldo vs Real Unión?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barakaldo vs Real Unión?
Our predicted score is Barakaldo 1–1 Real Unión, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Barakaldo vs Real Unión?
Barakaldo vs Real Unión (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Lasesarre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
