Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPontevedra to win ✓62% · @1.48
Double chancePontevedra or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.28
Pontevedra vs UD Ourense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
UD Ourense travel to face Pontevedra on Saturday 7 November in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Pontevedra are 3rd, among the top four, on 18 points after 11 matches; UD Ourense are 20th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Pontevedra, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Barakaldo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
UD Ourense, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cultural Leonesa, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pontevedra 1.7 xG, UD Ourense 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pontevedra 62%, draw 24%, UD Ourense 14%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pontevedra 1–0 UD Ourense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pontevedra62%fair 1.61 · @1.48
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.75
UD Ourense14%fair 7.19 · @6.00
2.31Expected goals
1.67Pontevedra xG
0.64UD Ourense xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Pontevedra 1.7 – 0.6 UD Ourense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pontevedra to win✓
62%
1.61
1.48
Double chance
Pontevedra or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Pontevedra (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Pontevedra -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
Pontevedra to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pontevedra / FT Pontevedra✗
39%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.28
–
Recent results
Pontevedra – last 6
DLWWLL
1 Nov
@ Barakaldo
0–0
D
27 Oct
@ Arosa
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ Cultural Leonesa
2–1
W
18 Oct
vs Cacereño
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Mérida AD
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Racing Ferrol
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
UD Ourense – last 6
WDLLWD
1 Nov
vs Cultural Leonesa
1–0
W
29 Oct
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Arenas Getxo
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Real Avilés
0–3
L
10 Oct
vs Barakaldo
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Real Unión
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pontevedra and UD Ourense.
What is the prediction for Pontevedra vs UD Ourense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pontevedra vs UD Ourense?
On our numbers Pontevedra have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and UD Ourense 14%.
How many goals will there be in Pontevedra vs UD Ourense?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pontevedra vs UD Ourense?
Our predicted score is Pontevedra 1–0 UD Ourense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Pontevedra vs UD Ourense?
Pontevedra vs UD Ourense (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
