Real Jaén 44%Draw 25%Ibiza 31%Expected goals 1.65 – 1.35
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Jaén to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.91
Real Jaén vs Ibiza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Real Jaén v Ibiza in the Primera División RFEF Group 2. In the table, Real Jaén are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Ibiza are 6th (upper half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Real Jaén, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Teruel, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Ibiza, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sant Andreu, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Jaén 1.7 xG, Ibiza 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Jaén 44%, draw 25%, Ibiza 31%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Jaén 1–1 Ibiza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Jaén44%fair 2.25 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.80
Ibiza31%fair 3.23 · @3.25
3.00Expected goals
1.65Real Jaén xG
1.35Ibiza xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Real Jaén 1.7 – 1.3 Ibiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Jaén to win✓
44%
2.25
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Real Jaén (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Ibiza +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Real Jaén to score first
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Jaén / FT Real Jaén✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.91
–
Recent results
Real Jaén – last 6
WDWLLW
12 Sep
@ Teruel
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Huesca
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Europa Fc
3–0
W
6 Aug
vs Cordoba
1–2
L
31 May
@ Atlético Baleares
0–1
L
24 May
vs Atlético Baleares
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ibiza – last 6
WWLWLW
12 Sep
vs Sant Andreu
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Rayo Majadahonda
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Antequera
2–3
L
14 Aug
vs Peña Deportiva
5–0
W
19 Apr
vs Sevilla Atletico
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Juventud Torremolinos
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Jaén and Ibiza.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Real Jaén vs Ibiza?
On our numbers Real Jaén have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ibiza 31%.
How many goals will there be in Real Jaén vs Ibiza?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Jaén vs Ibiza?
Our predicted score is Real Jaén 1–1 Ibiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Real Jaén vs Ibiza?
Real Jaén vs Ibiza (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
