Value bet: Teruel to win @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRayo Majadahonda to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.93
Rayo Majadahonda vs Teruel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Rayo Majadahonda v Teruel in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, played at Estadio Cerro del Espino. In the table, Rayo Majadahonda are 19th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Teruel are 20th (in the drop zone) with 7. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rayo Majadahonda, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Cartagena, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Teruel, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Jaén, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rayo Majadahonda 1.2 xG, Teruel 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rayo Majadahonda 41%, draw 25%, Teruel 34%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Teruel to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.00). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rayo Majadahonda 1–1 Teruel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rayo Majadahonda41%fair 2.42 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.80
Teruel34%fair 2.93 · @3.60
2.17Expected goals
1.16Rayo Majadahonda xG
1.01Teruel xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Rayo Majadahonda 1.2 – 1.0 Teruel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rayo Majadahonda to win✓
41%
2.42
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.00
Draw no bet
Rayo Majadahonda (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Teruel +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Rayo Majadahonda to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rayo Majadahonda / FT Rayo Majadahonda✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.93
–
Recent results
Rayo Majadahonda – last 6
DLLWDW
12 Sep
vs FC Cartagena
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Ibiza
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Villarreal II
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0
W
12 Aug
@ Alcorcon
1–1
D
3 May
vs Rayo Vallecano II
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Teruel – last 6
LLDWDL
12 Sep
vs Real Jaén
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Real Murcia
0–4
L
31 Aug
vs Real Madrid II
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Valencia U21
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Castellón II
0–0
D
22 May
@ Marbella
1–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rayo Majadahonda and Teruel.
What is the prediction for Rayo Majadahonda vs Teruel?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Rayo Majadahonda vs Teruel?
On our numbers Rayo Majadahonda have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Teruel 34%.
How many goals will there be in Rayo Majadahonda vs Teruel?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Majadahonda vs Teruel?
Our predicted score is Rayo Majadahonda 1–1 Teruel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Rayo Majadahonda vs Teruel?
Rayo Majadahonda vs Teruel (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cerro del Espino.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
