Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHércules to win ✓39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.12
Águilas vs Hércules: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Águilas welcome Hércules to Estadio El Rubial for a Primera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Saturday 26 September (15:30 WAT). In the table, Águilas are 17th, lower half, on 9 points after 11 matches; Hércules are 7th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Águilas, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Algeciras, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Hércules, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Juventud Torremolinos, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Águilas 1.1 xG, Hércules 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Águilas 37%, draw 23%, Hércules 39%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Águilas 1–1 Hércules. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Águilas37%fair 2.67 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Hércules39%fair 2.55 · @2.70
2.25Expected goals
1.11Águilas xG
1.14Hércules xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Águilas 1.1 – 1.1 Hércules expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hércules to win✓
39%
2.55
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Hércules (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Águilas +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Hércules to score first✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hércules / FT Hércules✗
21%
4.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.12
–
Recent results
Águilas – last 6
DWLDWD
20 Sep
@ Algeciras
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Real Madrid II
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Sant Andreu
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Alcorcon
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Lorca Deportiva
1–0
W
24 May
vs Poblense
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Hércules – last 6
WWLLLD
20 Sep
vs Juventud Torremolinos
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Europa Fc
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Atlético Madrid II
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Real Murcia
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Alcoyano
0–1
L
7 Aug
vs Castellón
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águilas and Hércules.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Águilas vs Hércules?
On our numbers Águilas have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hércules 39%.
How many goals will there be in Águilas vs Hércules?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águilas vs Hércules?
Our predicted score is Águilas 1–1 Hércules, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Águilas vs Hércules?
Águilas vs Hércules (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Rubial.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
