Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlgeciras to win ✓42% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.29
Juventud Torremolinos vs Algeciras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Juventud Torremolinos against Algeciras at Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Juventud Torremolinos are 18th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; Algeciras are 13th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Juventud Torremolinos, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hércules, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Algeciras, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Águilas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventud Torremolinos 1.4 xG, Algeciras 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 52% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventud Torremolinos 35%, draw 23%, Algeciras 42%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventud Torremolinos 1–1 Algeciras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventud Torremolinos35%fair 2.88 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Algeciras42%fair 2.36 · @2.35
3.05Expected goals
1.44Juventud Torremolinos xG
1.61Algeciras xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Juventud Torremolinos 1.4 – 1.6 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Algeciras to win✓
42%
2.36
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.83
Draw no bet
Algeciras (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Juventud Torremolinos +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.08
First team to score
Algeciras to score first
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Algeciras / FT Algeciras✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.29
–
Recent results
Juventud Torremolinos – last 6
LLLDLW
20 Sep
@ Hércules
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Zaragoza
3–4
L
5 Sep
@ Real Madrid II
0–2
L
30 Aug
@ Atlético Madrid II
2–2
D
11 Jul
@ Sevilla
0–1
L
10 May
@ Marbella
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Algeciras – last 6
DLLLDD
20 Sep
vs Águilas
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Gimnastic
2–4
L
4 Sep
@ Villarreal II
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs FC Cartagena
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
1–1
D
1 May
vs FC Cartagena
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventud Torremolinos and Algeciras.
What is the prediction for Juventud Torremolinos vs Algeciras?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Juventud Torremolinos vs Algeciras?
On our numbers Juventud Torremolinos have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Algeciras 42%.
How many goals will there be in Juventud Torremolinos vs Algeciras?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventud Torremolinos vs Algeciras?
Our predicted score is Juventud Torremolinos 1–1 Algeciras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Juventud Torremolinos vs Algeciras?
Juventud Torremolinos vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
