Value bet: Real Jaén to win @ 3.25 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Jaén to win ✗38% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.89
Antequera vs Real Jaén: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Jaén travel to face Antequera on Sunday 27 September in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 – the ball rolls at 17:15 WAT. In the table, Antequera are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Real Jaén are 4th (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Antequera, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Villarreal II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Real Jaén, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ibiza, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Antequera 1.4 xG, Real Jaén 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Antequera 38%, draw 24%, Real Jaén 38%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Real Jaén to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Antequera 1–1 Real Jaén. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Antequera38%fair 2.65 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90
Real Jaén38%fair 2.62 · @3.25
2.88Expected goals
1.44Antequera xG
1.44Real Jaén xG
54%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Antequera 1.4 – 1.4 Real Jaén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Jaén to win✗
38%
2.62
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.85
Draw no bet
Real Jaén (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Antequera +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Real Jaén to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Jaén / FT Real Jaén✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.89
–
Recent results
Antequera – last 6
DDLWLW
19 Sep
@ Villarreal II
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Alcorcon
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Zaragoza
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Ibiza
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs Granada CF
0–3
L
17 Apr
@ Real Murcia
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Real Jaén – last 6
WWDWLL
19 Sep
vs Ibiza
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Teruel
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Huesca
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Europa Fc
3–0
W
6 Aug
vs Cordoba
1–2
L
31 May
@ Atlético Baleares
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Antequera and Real Jaén.
What is the prediction for Antequera vs Real Jaén?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Antequera vs Real Jaén?
On our numbers Antequera have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Jaén 38%.
How many goals will there be in Antequera vs Real Jaén?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antequera vs Real Jaén?
Our predicted score is Antequera 1–1 Real Jaén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Antequera vs Real Jaén?
Antequera vs Real Jaén (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
