Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alcorcon travel to face Real Madrid II on Sunday 27 September in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Real Madrid II are 9th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Alcorcon are 5th (upper half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Real Madrid II, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sant Andreu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Alcorcon, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Gimnastic, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Madrid II 1.2 xG, Alcorcon 0.6 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Madrid II 55%, draw 23%, Alcorcon 22%.
Lower-risk option: Real Madrid II or draw (78%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Madrid II or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Madrid II 1–0 Alcorcon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Madrid II55%fair 1.80 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
Alcorcon22%fair 4.54 · @3.60
1.75Expected goals
1.18Real Madrid II xG
0.57Alcorcon xG
52%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
0–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–110%
2–17%
From our goals model: Real Madrid II 1.2 – 0.6 Alcorcon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid II to win✗
55%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Real Madrid II or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.70
Draw no bet
Real Madrid II (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Alcorcon +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Real Madrid II to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid II / FT Real Madrid II✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.50
–
Recent results
Real Madrid II – last 6
DLWDLL
23 Sep
@ Sant Andreu
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Águilas
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Juventud Torremolinos
2–0
W
31 Aug
@ Teruel
0–0
D
21 Aug
vs Atlético Baleares
0–2
L
20 Aug
vs Zamora
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Alcorcon – last 6
WDDDLL
20 Sep
vs Gimnastic
3–0
W
12 Sep
@ Antequera
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Europa Fc
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Águilas
2–2
D
18 Aug
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Mérida AD
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid II and Alcorcon.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
Our pick is Real Madrid II or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
On our numbers Real Madrid II have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alcorcon 22%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid II 1–0 Alcorcon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
