Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlcorcon to win ✓72% · @1.29
Double chanceAlcorcon or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Alcorcon against Juventud Torremolinos at Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo. Kick-off: 17:45 WAT. In the table, Alcorcon are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Juventud Torremolinos are 18th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Alcorcon, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Real Madrid II, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Juventud Torremolinos, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Algeciras, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alcorcon, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Juventud Torremolinos.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Juventud Torremolinos 1–0 Alcorcon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alcorcon 2.2 xG, Juventud Torremolinos 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alcorcon 72%, draw 17%, Juventud Torremolinos 10%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alcorcon to win (72%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcorcon 2–0 Juventud Torremolinos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alcorcon72%fair 1.38 · @1.29
Draw17%fair 5.77 · @4.50
Juventud Torremolinos10%fair 9.67 · @9.50
2.90Expected goals
2.21Alcorcon xG
0.69Juventud Torremolinos xG
52%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Alcorcon 2.2 – 0.7 Juventud Torremolinos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos?
Our pick is Alcorcon to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos?
On our numbers Alcorcon have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Juventud Torremolinos 10%.
How many goals will there be in Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos?
Our predicted score is Alcorcon 2–0 Juventud Torremolinos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos?
Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
