Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultHércules to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chanceHércules or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Hércules vs Real Jaén: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Jaén travel to face Hércules on Saturday 3 October in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Hércules are 7th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Real Jaén are 4th (among the top four) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hércules, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Águilas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Real Jaén, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Antequera, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hércules 1.6 xG, Real Jaén 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hércules 59%, draw 24%, Real Jaén 17%.
Lower-risk option: Hércules or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hércules to win (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hércules 1–0 Real Jaén. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hércules59%fair 1.70 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.30
Real Jaén17%fair 5.74 · @4.33
2.30Expected goals
1.59Hércules xG
0.71Real Jaén xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Hércules 1.6 – 0.7 Real Jaén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hércules to win✗
59%
1.70
1.67
Double chance
Hércules or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.95
Draw no bet
Hércules (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Real Jaén +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Hércules to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hércules / FT Hércules✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
Hércules – last 6
WWWLLL
26 Sep
@ Águilas
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Juventud Torremolinos
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Europa Fc
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Atlético Madrid II
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Real Murcia
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Alcoyano
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Jaén – last 6
LWWDWL
27 Sep
@ Antequera
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Ibiza
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Teruel
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Huesca
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Europa Fc
3–0
W
6 Aug
vs Cordoba
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hércules and Real Jaén.
Our pick is Hércules to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Hércules vs Real Jaén?
On our numbers Hércules have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Jaén 17%.
How many goals will there be in Hércules vs Real Jaén?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hércules vs Real Jaén?
Our predicted score is Hércules 1–0 Real Jaén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Hércules vs Real Jaén?
Hércules vs Real Jaén (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
