Real Murcia 60%Draw 25%Gimnastic 16%Expected goals 2.08 – 1.03
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Murcia to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceReal Murcia or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Real Murcia vs Gimnastic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Real Murcia v Gimnastic in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, played at Estadio Enrique Roca. In the table, Real Murcia are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 11 matches; Gimnastic are 11th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Real Murcia, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Navalcarnero, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Gimnastic, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sant Andreu, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Murcia 2.1 xG, Gimnastic 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Murcia 60%, draw 25%, Gimnastic 16%.
Lower-risk option: Real Murcia or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Murcia 2–1 Gimnastic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Murcia60%fair 1.68 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.50
Gimnastic16%fair 6.26 · @4.00
3.11Expected goals
2.08Real Murcia xG
1.03Gimnastic xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Real Murcia 2.1 – 1.0 Gimnastic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Murcia to win✓
60%
1.68
1.67
Double chance
Real Murcia or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Real Murcia (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Real Murcia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
First team to score
Real Murcia to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Real Murcia ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Murcia / FT Real Murcia✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Real Murcia – last 6
LWDLDW
30 Sep
@ Navalcarnero
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Europa Fc
2–1
W
16 Sep
@ Orihuela
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Atlético Madrid II
0–4
L
9 Sep
@ Mensajero
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Teruel
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gimnastic – last 6
LLWDWL
26 Sep
vs Sant Andreu
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Alcorcon
0–3
L
11 Sep
vs Algeciras
4–2
W
5 Sep
@ FC Cartagena
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Zaragoza
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Espanyol II
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia and Gimnastic.
What is the prediction for Real Murcia vs Gimnastic?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Real Murcia vs Gimnastic?
On our numbers Real Murcia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gimnastic 16%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia vs Gimnastic?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Murcia vs Gimnastic?
Our predicted score is Real Murcia 2–1 Gimnastic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Real Murcia vs Gimnastic?
Real Murcia vs Gimnastic (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Enrique Roca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
