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Atlético Madrid II v Zaragoza: numbers & prediction

4–4
FT
Atlético Madrid II 34%Draw 22%Zaragoza 44% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.65
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultZaragoza to win ✗44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.17

Atlético Madrid II vs Zaragoza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Atlético Madrid II v Zaragoza in the Primera División RFEF Group 2. In the table, Atlético Madrid II are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Zaragoza are 1st (leading the league) with 24. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atlético Madrid II, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Real Madrid II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Zaragoza, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Teruel, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Zaragoza, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Atlético Madrid II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Madrid II 1.4 xG, Zaragoza 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Madrid II 34%, draw 22%, Zaragoza 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Madrid II 1–1 Zaragoza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlético Madrid II34%fair 2.91 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.20
Zaragoza44%fair 2.27 · @2.25
3.08Expected goals
1.43Atlético Madrid II xG
1.65Zaragoza xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Atlético Madrid II 1.4 – 1.7 Zaragoza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZaragoza to win ✗44%2.272.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.57
Draw no betZaragoza (draw no bet)56%1.78–
Asian handicapAtlético Madrid II +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
First team to scoreZaragoza to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zaragoza / FT Zaragoza ✗26%3.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.17–

Recent results

Atlético Madrid II – last 6

LLDWWD
2 Oct@ Real Madrid II2–3L
25 Sepvs Villarreal II1–3L
19 Sep@ Huesca0–0D
13 Sepvs Real Murcia4–0W
6 Sep@ Hércules2–0W
30 Augvs Juventud Torremolinos2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Zaragoza – last 6

WWWWWL
4 Octvs Teruel4–1W
25 Sep@ Ibiza2–0W
20 Sepvs FC Cartagena1–0W
13 Sep@ Juventud Torremolinos4–3W
5 Sepvs Antequera1–0W
30 Aug@ Gimnastic0–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atlético Madrid II and Zaragoza.

Atlético Madrid II vs Zaragoza head-to-head page →

Primera División RFEF Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaragoza11731+924
2Villarreal II11641+1122
3Real Murcia11623+420
4Real Jaén11542+419
5Alcorcon11461+918
6Ibiza11533+418
7Hércules11524-117
8FC Cartagena11443+316
9Real Madrid II11443+216
10Huesca11362015
11Gimnastic11434-115
12Antequera11353+214
13Algeciras11425-114
14Sant Andreu11344013
15Atlético Madrid II11254+111
16Europa Fc11317-1110
17Águilas11164-69
18Juventud Torremolinos11155-98
19Rayo Majadahonda11218-77
20Teruel11146-137

More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid II vs Zaragoza?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Atlético Madrid II vs Zaragoza?

On our numbers Atlético Madrid II have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zaragoza 44%.

How many goals will there be in Atlético Madrid II vs Zaragoza?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlético Madrid II vs Zaragoza?

Our predicted score is Atlético Madrid II 1–1 Zaragoza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Atlético Madrid II vs Zaragoza?

Atlético Madrid II vs Zaragoza (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.