Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Murcia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rayo Majadahonda welcome Real Murcia to Estadio Cerro del Espino for a Primera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 11 October (17:45 WAT). In the table, Rayo Majadahonda are 19th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Real Murcia are 3rd (among the top four) with 20. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rayo Majadahonda, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Algeciras, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Real Murcia, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Cartagena, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Real Murcia, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Rayo Majadahonda.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rayo Majadahonda 1.2 xG, Real Murcia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rayo Majadahonda 38%, draw 25%, Real Murcia 37%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rayo Majadahonda 1–1 Real Murcia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rayo Majadahonda38%fair 2.61 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.75
Real Murcia37%fair 2.72 · @2.80
2.42Expected goals
1.23Rayo Majadahonda xG
1.19Real Murcia xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Rayo Majadahonda 1.2 – 1.2 Real Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rayo Majadahonda to win✗
38%
2.61
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.85
Draw no bet
Rayo Majadahonda (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Real Murcia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Rayo Majadahonda to score first✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rayo Majadahonda / FT Rayo Majadahonda✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.54
–
Recent results
Rayo Majadahonda – last 6
LLWDLL
4 Oct
@ Algeciras
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Europa Fc
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Teruel
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs FC Cartagena
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Ibiza
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Villarreal II
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Murcia – last 6
LWLWDL
7 Oct
@ FC Cartagena
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Gimnastic
2–0
W
30 Sep
@ Navalcarnero
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Europa Fc
2–1
W
16 Sep
@ Orihuela
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Atlético Madrid II
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rayo Majadahonda and Real Murcia.
What is the prediction for Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Murcia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Murcia?
On our numbers Rayo Majadahonda have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Murcia 37%.
How many goals will there be in Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Murcia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Murcia?
Our predicted score is Rayo Majadahonda 1–1 Real Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Murcia?
Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Murcia (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cerro del Espino.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
