Real Jaén vs Villarreal II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Villarreal II travel to face Real Jaén on Saturday 10 October in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, with Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria the venue – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT. In the table, Real Jaén are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Villarreal II are 2nd (among the top four) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Real Jaén, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hércules, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Villarreal II, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ibiza, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Jaén 1.2 xG, Villarreal II 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Jaén 32%, draw 24%, Villarreal II 44%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Jaén 1–1 Villarreal II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Jaén32%fair 3.15 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.90
Villarreal II44%fair 2.26 · @2.30
2.58Expected goals
1.16Real Jaén xG
1.42Villarreal II xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Real Jaén 1.2 – 1.4 Villarreal II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal II to win✗
44%
2.26
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Draw no bet
Villarreal II (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Real Jaén +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Villarreal II to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal II / FT Villarreal II✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.27
–
Recent results
Real Jaén – last 6
DLWWDW
3 Oct
@ Hércules
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Antequera
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Ibiza
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Teruel
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Huesca
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Europa Fc
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Villarreal II – last 6
LWDWWW
4 Oct
vs Ibiza
0–1
L
25 Sep
@ Atlético Madrid II
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Antequera
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Huesca
3–0
W
4 Sep
vs Algeciras
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Rayo Majadahonda
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Jaén and Villarreal II.
What is the prediction for Real Jaén vs Villarreal II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Real Jaén vs Villarreal II?
On our numbers Real Jaén have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Villarreal II 44%.
How many goals will there be in Real Jaén vs Villarreal II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Jaén vs Villarreal II?
Our predicted score is Real Jaén 1–1 Villarreal II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Real Jaén vs Villarreal II?
Real Jaén vs Villarreal II (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
