Teruel vs Alcorcon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alcorcon travel to face Teruel on Saturday 10 October in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, with Pinilla the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Teruel are 20th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Alcorcon are 5th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Teruel, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Zaragoza, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Alcorcon, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Juventud Torremolinos, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Alcorcon, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Teruel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Teruel 0.9 xG, Alcorcon 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Teruel 19%, draw 24%, Alcorcon 57%.
Lower-risk option: Alcorcon or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Teruel 1–1 Alcorcon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Teruel19%fair 5.39 · @4.33
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.90
Alcorcon57%fair 1.75 · @1.80
2.58Expected goals
0.86Teruel xG
1.72Alcorcon xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Teruel 0.9 – 1.7 Alcorcon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcorcon to win✗
57%
1.75
1.80
Double chance
Alcorcon or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Alcorcon (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Teruel +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Alcorcon to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcorcon / FT Alcorcon✗
36%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Teruel – last 6
LDLLLD
4 Oct
@ Zaragoza
1–4
L
27 Sep
vs Huesca
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Rayo Majadahonda
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Real Jaén
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Real Murcia
0–4
L
31 Aug
vs Real Madrid II
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Alcorcon – last 6
WWWDDD
3 Oct
vs Juventud Torremolinos
5–0
W
27 Sep
@ Real Madrid II
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Gimnastic
3–0
W
12 Sep
@ Antequera
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Europa Fc
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Águilas
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Teruel and Alcorcon.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Teruel vs Alcorcon?
On our numbers Teruel have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alcorcon 57%.
How many goals will there be in Teruel vs Alcorcon?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Teruel vs Alcorcon?
Our predicted score is Teruel 1–1 Alcorcon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Teruel vs Alcorcon?
Teruel vs Alcorcon (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Pinilla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
