Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.65
Fratria vs Rilski Sportist: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Saturday 1 August: Fratria v Rilski Sportist in the Second League, played at Albena Stadium. In the table, Fratria are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 14 matches; Rilski Sportist are 12th (lower half) with 20.
Current form
Fratria, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Marek, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Rilski Sportist, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ludogorets II, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fratria 1.4 xG, Rilski Sportist 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fratria 57%, draw 25%, Rilski Sportist 18%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.90 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fratria 1–0 Rilski Sportist. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fratria57%fair 1.75 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.50
Rilski Sportist18%fair 5.70 · @4.50
2.09Expected goals
1.43Fratria xG
0.66Rilski Sportist xG
39%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–112%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Fratria 1.4 – 0.7 Rilski Sportist expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fratria
Rilski Sportist
Attack vs Second League average
+20%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.67
0.80
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fratria to win✓
57%
1.75
1.67
Double chance
Fratria or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
–
Draw no bet
Fratria (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Rilski Sportist +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Fratria to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fratria / FT Fratria✓
33%
3.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
18%
5.65
–
Recent results
Fratria – last 6
LDDWDL
25 Jul
vs Marek
0–1
L
10 Jul
@ Yantra 2019
1–1
D
27 Jun
@ Farul Constanta
1–1
D
23 May
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
3–0
W
11 May
vs Dunav Ruse
2–2
D
4 May
@ Vihren
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rilski Sportist – last 6
LLLWLW
28 Jul
vs Ludogorets II
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs CSKA Sofia II
0–2
L
8 Jul
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Vihren
1–0
W
1 Jul
vs Arda Kardzhali
0–2
L
22 Apr
vs Kostinbrod
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fratria and Rilski Sportist.
What is the prediction for Fratria vs Rilski Sportist?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Fratria vs Rilski Sportist?
On our numbers Fratria have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rilski Sportist 18%.
How many goals will there be in Fratria vs Rilski Sportist?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fratria vs Rilski Sportist?
Our predicted score is Fratria 1–0 Rilski Sportist, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Fratria vs Rilski Sportist?
Fratria vs Rilski Sportist (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Albena Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
