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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spartak Pleven v Marek: numbers & prediction

Second League · Bulgaria · Stadion Pleven
2–1
FT

Marek

WLLWW
Spartak Pleven 42%Draw 28%Marek 30% Expected goals 1.14 – 0.93
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultSpartak Pleven to win ✓42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.93

Spartak Pleven vs Marek: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Spartak Pleven welcome Marek to Stadion Pleven for a Second League fixture on Saturday 1 August (18:00 WAT). In the table, Spartak Pleven are 10th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Marek are 13th (lower half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Spartak Pleven, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Yantra 2019, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Marek, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fratria, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Marek 0–0 Spartak Pleven.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Pleven 1.1 xG, Marek 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Pleven 42%, draw 28%, Marek 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Pleven 1–0 Marek. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spartak Pleven42%fair 2.38 · @2.20
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @2.88
Marek30%fair 3.35 · @3.20
2.07Expected goals
1.14Spartak Pleven xG
0.93Marek xG
43%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Spartak Pleven 1.1 – 0.9 Marek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Spartak PlevenMarek
Attack vs Second League average-15%-15%
Goals conceded vs average+8%-10%
Our expected goals here1.281.07

Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Pleven to win ✓42%2.382.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.391.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗57%1.76–
Draw no betSpartak Pleven (draw no bet) ✓58%1.71–
Asian handicapMarek +1 (Asian handicap)78%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.581.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreSpartak Pleven to score first ✓48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Pleven / FT Spartak Pleven ✓23%4.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%6.93–

Recent results

Spartak Pleven – last 6

WLLWWL
25 Jul@ Yantra 20192–0W
18 Jul@ Montana1–3L
14 Jul@ Hapoel Petah Tikva0–2L
11 Julvs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa2–1W
7 Jul@ Yantra 20192–0W
3 Jul@ Cherno More Varna0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Marek – last 6

WLLWWD
25 Jul@ Fratria1–0W
3 Jul@ CSKA Sofia0–3L
27 Jun@ Septemvri Sofia0–3L
23 Mayvs Etar Veliko Tarnovo1–0W
11 Mayvs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas3–0W
17 Apr@ Dunav Ruse0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Marek v Spartak Pleven0–0
Spartak Pleven vs Marek head-to-head page →

Second League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia II15942+1831
2Vihren15852+1529
3Chernomorets 1919 Burgas15852+1429
4Fratria14743+1025
5Yantra 201915735+524
6Hebar 191815726+723
7Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa15654+123
8Beroe15645+322
9Ludogorets II14644+622
10Spartak Pleven15636-921
11Etar Veliko Tarnovo14635+121
12Rilski Sportist15555020
13Marek15537-418
14Nesebar15537-118
15Montana15438-1115
16Sportist Svoge15267-912
17Dobrudzha14248-1310
18Pirin Blagoevgrad150213-332

More Second League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Pleven vs Marek?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Spartak Pleven vs Marek?

On our numbers Spartak Pleven have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Marek 30%.

How many goals will there be in Spartak Pleven vs Marek?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Pleven vs Marek?

Our predicted score is Spartak Pleven 1–0 Marek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Spartak Pleven vs Marek?

Spartak Pleven vs Marek (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Pleven.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.