Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
1
Value bet: Beroe to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBeroe to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceBeroe or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.36
Beroe vs Sportist Svoge: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sportist Svoge travel to face Beroe on Sunday 13 September in the Second League, with Stadion Beroe the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Beroe are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Sportist Svoge are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Beroe, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Dobrudzha, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sportist Svoge, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Beroe, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Sportist Svoge.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Beroe 1.5 xG, Sportist Svoge 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Beroe 59%, draw 25%, Sportist Svoge 15%.
Lower-risk option: Beroe or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Price worth noting: Beroe to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beroe 1–0 Sportist Svoge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Beroe59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.20
Sportist Svoge15%fair 6.51 · @3.90
2.07Expected goals
1.48Beroe xG
0.59Sportist Svoge xG
41%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Beroe 1.5 – 0.6 Sportist Svoge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beroe to win✓
59%
1.69
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Beroe or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Draw no bet
Beroe (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Sportist Svoge +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Beroe to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beroe / FT Beroe✓
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.36
–
Recent results
Beroe – last 6
DDDWLW
6 Sep
@ Dobrudzha
2–2
D
3 Sep
vs Montana
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Etar Veliko Tarnovo
2–2
D
25 Aug
vs Spartak Pleven
3–0
W
14 Aug
@ Fratria
0–2
L
10 Aug
vs Ludogorets II
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sportist Svoge – last 6
DLDLLW
7 Sep
vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0–0
D
2 Sep
@ Rilski Sportist
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Marek
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Yantra 2019
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Nesebar
0–1
L
9 Aug
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beroe and Sportist Svoge.
What is the prediction for Beroe vs Sportist Svoge?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Beroe vs Sportist Svoge?
On our numbers Beroe have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sportist Svoge 15%.
How many goals will there be in Beroe vs Sportist Svoge?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beroe vs Sportist Svoge?
Our predicted score is Beroe 1–0 Sportist Svoge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Beroe vs Sportist Svoge?
Beroe vs Sportist Svoge (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Beroe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
