Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMarek to win ✓65% · @1.43
Double chanceMarek or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Marek welcome Pirin Blagoevgrad to Stadion Bonchuk for a Second League fixture on Sunday 13 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Marek are 13th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Pirin Blagoevgrad are 18th (in the drop zone) with 2. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Marek, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Yantra 2019, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Pirin Blagoevgrad, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Ludogorets II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Marek, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marek 2.0 xG, Pirin Blagoevgrad 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marek 65%, draw 21%, Pirin Blagoevgrad 14%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marek 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marek65%fair 1.54 · @1.43
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @4.00
Pirin Blagoevgrad14%fair 7.26 · @6.10
2.77Expected goals
1.98Marek xG
0.79Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Marek 2.0 – 0.8 Pirin Blagoevgrad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marek to win✓
65%
1.54
1.43
Double chance
Marek or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Marek (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Marek -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.06
First team to score
Marek to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Marek ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marek / FT Marek✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Marek – last 6
LWDWLL
6 Sep
@ Yantra 2019
0–3
L
2 Sep
vs Nesebar
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Sportist Svoge
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Dobrudzha
4–2
W
16 Aug
@ Montana
0–1
L
7 Aug
@ Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pirin Blagoevgrad – last 6
LLLLLL
7 Sep
vs Ludogorets II
0–3
L
2 Sep
@ Yantra 2019
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0–3
L
23 Aug
@ Nesebar
0–7
L
18 Aug
vs Hebar 1918
2–3
L
9 Aug
@ Sportist Svoge
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marek and Pirin Blagoevgrad.
What is the prediction for Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
On our numbers Marek have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pirin Blagoevgrad 14%.
How many goals will there be in Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our predicted score is Marek 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Bonchuk.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
