Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.27 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBeroe to win ✗73% · @1.14
Double chanceBeroe or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.27
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.07
Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pirin Blagoevgrad travel to face Beroe on Sunday 8 November in the Second League, with Stadion Beroe the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Beroe are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Pirin Blagoevgrad are 18th (in the drop zone) with 2. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Beroe, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Pirin Blagoevgrad, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Etar Veliko Tarnovo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Beroe, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Beroe 2.3 xG, Pirin Blagoevgrad 0.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Beroe 73%, draw 20%, Pirin Blagoevgrad 7%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.27.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.27 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beroe 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Beroe73%fair 1.37 · @1.14
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @5.65
Pirin Blagoevgrad7%fair 14.13 · @15.00
3.01Expected goals
2.35Beroe xG
0.67Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
52%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Beroe 2.3 – 0.7 Pirin Blagoevgrad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beroe to win✗
73%
1.37
1.14
Double chance
Beroe or draw✓
93%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.27 ▲
Draw no bet
Beroe (draw no bet)
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Beroe -1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.17
First team to score
Beroe to score first
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Beroe ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beroe / FT Beroe✗
51%
1.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.07
–
Recent results
Beroe – last 6
LWLLWW
30 Oct
@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0–2
L
23 Oct
vs Rilski Sportist
3–1
W
17 Oct
vs Ludogorets
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Marek
2–3
L
4 Oct
@ FK Minyor Pernik
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Yantra 2019
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pirin Blagoevgrad – last 6
LLLDDL
30 Oct
vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0–2
L
23 Oct
@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs Hebar 1918
1–4
L
10 Oct
vs Spartak Pleven
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Lokomotiv Mezdra
2–2
D
26 Sep
@ Rilski Sportist
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beroe and Pirin Blagoevgrad.
What is the prediction for Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
On our numbers Beroe have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pirin Blagoevgrad 7%.
How many goals will there be in Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our predicted score is Beroe 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Beroe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
