Ludogorets II vs Nesebar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Second League brings Ludogorets II against Nesebar at PFC Ludogorets 1945 Training Centre. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Ludogorets II are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Nesebar are 14th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Ludogorets II, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sportist Svoge, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Nesebar, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ludogorets II, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Nesebar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ludogorets II 1.9 xG, Nesebar 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ludogorets II 61%, draw 20%, Nesebar 19%.
Lower-risk option: Ludogorets II or draw (81%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ludogorets II 2–0 Nesebar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ludogorets II61%fair 1.64 · @1.66
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.54
Nesebar19%fair 5.17 · @4.25
2.78Expected goals
1.87Ludogorets II xG
0.92Nesebar xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Ludogorets II 1.9 – 0.9 Nesebar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ludogorets II to win✓
61%
1.64
1.66
Double chance
Ludogorets II or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
Ludogorets II (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Nesebar +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.34
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.10
First team to score
Ludogorets II to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Ludogorets II ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ludogorets II / FT Ludogorets II✓
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Ludogorets II – last 6
DWWLDW
2 Nov
@ Sportist Svoge
1–1
D
27 Oct
vs Dobrudzha
5–1
W
13 Oct
@ Montana
3–2
W
21 Sep
@ Spartak Pleven
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Fratria
1–1
D
7 Sep
@ Pirin Blagoevgrad
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nesebar – last 6
LLLDDL
31 Oct
vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1–2
L
23 Oct
@ Hebar 1918
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs CSKA Sofia
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs CSKA Sofia II
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Rodopa Smolyan
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Vihren
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ludogorets II and Nesebar.
What is the prediction for Ludogorets II vs Nesebar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Ludogorets II vs Nesebar?
On our numbers Ludogorets II have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nesebar 19%.
How many goals will there be in Ludogorets II vs Nesebar?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ludogorets II vs Nesebar?
Our predicted score is Ludogorets II 2–0 Nesebar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ludogorets II vs Nesebar?
Ludogorets II vs Nesebar (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at PFC Ludogorets 1945 Training Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
