Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.63
Amorebieta vs Ourense CF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Amorebieta v Ourense CF in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1, played at Campo Municipal de Urritxe. In the table, Amorebieta are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Ourense CF are 10th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Amorebieta, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Racing Santander II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Ourense CF, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Eibar II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amorebieta 1.2 xG, Ourense CF 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amorebieta 42%, draw 21%, Ourense CF 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amorebieta 1–1 Ourense CF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amorebieta42%fair 2.36 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Ourense CF36%fair 2.74 · @2.90
2.38Expected goals
1.25Amorebieta xG
1.13Ourense CF xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Amorebieta 1.2 – 1.1 Ourense CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amorebieta to win✗
42%
2.36
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Amorebieta (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Ourense CF +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Amorebieta to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amorebieta / FT Amorebieta✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.63
–
Recent results
Amorebieta – last 6
WLDLWD
20 Sep
@ Racing Santander II
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Bergantiños
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Arosa
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Athletic Club II
0–1
L
3 May
@ Mutilvera
2–0
W
26 Apr
vs Sestao River
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ourense CF – last 6
LWWLLD
19 Sep
vs Eibar II
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Marino de Luanco
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Basconia
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Lugo
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Pontevedra
1–2
L
14 Apr
@ Real Madrid II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amorebieta and Ourense CF.
What is the prediction for Amorebieta vs Ourense CF?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Amorebieta vs Ourense CF?
On our numbers Amorebieta have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ourense CF 36%.
How many goals will there be in Amorebieta vs Ourense CF?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amorebieta vs Ourense CF?
Our predicted score is Amorebieta 1–1 Ourense CF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Amorebieta vs Ourense CF?
Amorebieta vs Ourense CF (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
