Sestao River 63%Draw 25%Atlético Astorga 12%Expected goals 1.73 – 0.63
63%
Betarazi pick
Sestao River to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultSestao River to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceSestao River or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.14
Sestao River vs Atlético Astorga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Astorga travel to face Sestao River on Saturday 26 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1, with Estadio Las Llanas the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Sestao River are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 10 matches; Atlético Astorga are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sestao River, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Compostela, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Atlético Astorga, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Marino de Luanco, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sestao River, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Atlético Astorga.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sestao River 1.7 xG, Atlético Astorga 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sestao River 63%, draw 25%, Atlético Astorga 12%.
Lower-risk option: Sestao River or draw (88%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sestao River to win (63%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sestao River 1–0 Atlético Astorga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sestao River63%fair 1.60 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.20
Atlético Astorga12%fair 8.28 · @4.33
2.36Expected goals
1.73Sestao River xG
0.63Atlético Astorga xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sestao River 1.7 – 0.6 Atlético Astorga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✓
63%
1.60
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Sestao River or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Sestao River (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Sestao River -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Sestao River to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Sestao River ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sestao River / FT Sestao River✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.14
–
Recent results
Sestao River – last 6
LWWDWW
20 Sep
@ Compostela
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Comillas
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Real Oviedo II
2–0
W
9 Sep
@ Badalona II
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Racing Santander II
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Derio
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atlético Astorga – last 6
WLLLWD
19 Sep
vs Marino de Luanco
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Basconia
2–3
L
5 Sep
vs Portugalete
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Palencia CF
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Salamanca UDS
2–1
W
21 Aug
vs Cultural Leonesa
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sestao River and Atlético Astorga.
What is the prediction for Sestao River vs Atlético Astorga?
Our pick is Sestao River to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sestao River vs Atlético Astorga?
On our numbers Sestao River have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlético Astorga 12%.
How many goals will there be in Sestao River vs Atlético Astorga?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sestao River vs Atlético Astorga?
Our predicted score is Sestao River 1–0 Atlético Astorga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sestao River vs Atlético Astorga?
Sestao River vs Atlético Astorga (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Llanas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
